La escuela de los momiosAEK Athens v AEL
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AEK Athens (Local)
Predicción 80.48%1.24momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -8.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.54%80.48%80.64%83.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.161.151.2294.34%86.19%86.96%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AEL (Visitante)
Predicción 5.97%16.74momio equitativo
EV +16.59%
Ventaja +0.850%
Kelly +0.896%
Crecimiento +0.149%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 19.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.90%6.06%5.90%8.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
11.0014.0513.5019.529.09%7.12%7.41%5.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 13.54%7.38momio equitativo
EV +8.34%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.099%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.87%13.46%13.46%16.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.406.408.0018.52%15.63%15.63%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.11%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 19.52I 5.12%NM 4.90%EV +16.59%E +0.850%K +0.896%G +0.149% | 7.97I 12.55%NM 11.99%EV +7.93%E +0.995%K +1.14%G +0.090% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 15:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.55%EV -8.25%E -7.23%K -58.91%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV +7.51%E +0.417%K +0.442%G +0.033% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 15:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -9.86%E -8.80%K -82.14%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +7.51%E +0.417%K +0.442%G +0.033% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +1.57%E +0.209%K +0.241%G +0.004% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 15:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +8.34%E +1.04%K +1.19%G +0.099% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +8.34%E +1.04%K +1.19%G +0.099% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 15:30 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| William Hill | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -9.05%E -8.01%K -69.63%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 11:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.49%EV -5.03%E -4.26%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 15:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +1.57%E +0.209%K +0.241%G +0.004% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 11:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -10.66%E -9.61%K -96.93%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 15:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 81.35%EV -14.69%E -13.85%K -244.77%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.39%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.27%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-07 15:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -8.25%E -7.23%K -58.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -10.40%E -0.694%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 15:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -9.05%E -8.01%K -69.63%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -10.40%E -0.694%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -11.47%E -10.42%K -114.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -10.40%E -0.694%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 15:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.47%EV -4.22%E -3.55%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV -13.39%E -0.923%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.59%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -6.64%E -5.72%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -16.38%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 15:54 |
| BetUS | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -16.38%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -8.59%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 15:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.89%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -16.38%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.63%EV -16.04%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 15:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.59%EV -9.86%E -8.80%K -82.14%G +0.000% | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.48%EV -17.87%E -1.30%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.93%EV -13.33%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 15:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 80.23%EV -13.88%E -12.97%K -198.31%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.36%EV -19.36%E -1.43%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.41%EV -13.33%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-07 15:44 |
| Betway | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 15:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.97%EV -6.64%E -5.72%K -41.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 15:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 78.72%EV -10.66%E -9.61%K -96.93%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.72%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.56%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-07 15:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -8.59%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Coral | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 77.48%EV -10.66%E -9.61%K -96.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.17%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.36%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-07 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.61%EV -3.42%E -2.85%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -25.52%E -4.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.61%EV -3.42%E -2.85%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -25.52%E -4.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.61%EV -3.42%E -2.85%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -25.52%E -4.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.54%EV -4.22%E -3.55%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.82%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -26.87%E -4.98%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.91%EV -9.05%E -8.01%K -69.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.00%EV -34.30%E -3.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -15.36%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.06% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.06% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.06% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.02% | 22.99I 4.35%NM 4.28% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.70% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 15:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.91% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.80% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 15:20 |