The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Waldhof Mannheim v TSG Hoffenheim II

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prediction 38.98%2.57fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.02%39.15%38.94%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.352.372.4846.51%42.47%42.28%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSG Hoffenheim II (Visit)

Prediction 37.17%2.69fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.88%37.11%37.14%38.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.452.6044.44%40.99%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.85%4.19fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.307%
Kelly -0.405%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.70%23.75%23.93%26.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.703.654.1432.26%26.99%27.40%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 38.98%; TSG Hoffenheim II (Visit): 37.17%; Draw: 23.85%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.14, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -3.32%E -1.34%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.93%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.12%EV -4.10%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.93%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.12%EV -4.10%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 16:45
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -12.65%E -5.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -8.19%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:54
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -5.80%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 16:50
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.42%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%EV -6.83%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.36%EV -8.56%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.10%EV -7.22%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.85%EV -3.73%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -1.27%E -0.307%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 16:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.39%E -3.57%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:45
Suprabets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -6.99%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:47
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.79%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:45
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.57%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.76%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.76%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.76%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 16:44
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -10.79%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-07 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:44
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.29%E -5.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-07 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.38%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.55%EV -11.91%E -5.03%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-07 16:48
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.17%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.21%EV -11.54%E -4.85%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -16.53%E -4.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-07 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.97%EV -16.37%E -7.28%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.21%EV -21.30%E -6.46%K -9.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-07 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.51%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.88%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.62%EV -26.07%E -8.41%K -12.42%G +0.000%21.2%2026-04-07 16:49
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -16.19%E -7.53%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -10.57%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-07 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-04-07 16:55