L’École des cotes

Waldhof Mannheim v TSG Hoffenheim II

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prévision 38.98%2.57cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.02%39.15%38.94%40.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.352.372.4846.51%42.47%42.28%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.17%2.69cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.88%37.11%37.14%38.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.442.452.6044.44%40.99%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.85%4.19cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.307%
Kelly -0.405%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.70%23.75%23.93%26.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.703.654.1432.26%26.99%27.40%24.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -3.32%E -1.34%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:15
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.93%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.12%EV -4.10%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.93%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.12%EV -4.10%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 16:45
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -12.65%E -5.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -8.19%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:54
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -5.80%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 16:49
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 16:50
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.42%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 16:49
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%EV -6.83%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.36%EV -8.56%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 16:50
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.10%EV -7.22%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.85%EV -3.73%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -1.27%E -0.307%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 16:55
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.39%E -3.57%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:44
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:45
Suprabets2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -6.99%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:47
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.79%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.57%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.76%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 16:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.76%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 16:44
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.76%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 16:44
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -10.79%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-07 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:44
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.29%E -5.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-07 16:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.38%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.55%EV -11.91%E -5.03%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-07 16:48
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.17%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.21%EV -11.54%E -4.85%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -16.53%E -4.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-07 16:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.97%EV -16.37%E -7.28%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.21%EV -21.30%E -6.46%K -9.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-07 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.51%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.88%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.62%EV -26.07%E -8.41%K -12.42%G +0.000%21.2%2026-04-07 16:49
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -16.19%E -7.53%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -10.57%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-07 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-04-07 16:55