La escuela de los momios

Waldhof Mannheim v TSG Hoffenheim II

Inicio: 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Predicción 38.98%2.57momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.02%39.15%38.94%40.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.372.4846.51%42.47%42.28%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

TSG Hoffenheim II (Visitante)

Predicción 37.17%2.69momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.88%37.11%37.14%38.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.6044.44%40.99%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.85%4.19momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.307%
Kelly -0.405%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.70%23.75%23.93%26.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.703.654.1432.26%26.99%27.40%24.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -3.32%E -1.34%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:15
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.93%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.12%EV -4.10%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.93%EV -4.10%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.12%EV -4.10%E -1.59%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 16:45
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -12.65%E -5.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -8.19%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:54
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:15
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.50%EV -9.68%E -3.98%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:14
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -5.80%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 16:49
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 16:50
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.42%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.19%E -2.13%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 16:49
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%EV -6.83%E -2.86%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.36%EV -8.56%E -3.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 16:50
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.10%EV -7.22%E -3.03%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.85%EV -3.73%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -1.27%E -0.307%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 16:55
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.39%E -3.57%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 16:44
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:45
Suprabets2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -6.99%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:47
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.79%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.57%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.76%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 16:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.76%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 16:44
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.76%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 16:44
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -10.79%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-07 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:44
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.29%E -5.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.38%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-07 16:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.38%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.55%EV -11.91%E -5.03%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -14.15%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-07 16:48
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.17%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.21%EV -11.54%E -4.85%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -16.53%E -4.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-07 16:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.97%EV -16.37%E -7.28%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.21%EV -21.30%E -6.46%K -9.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-07 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.51%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.88%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.62%EV -26.07%E -8.41%K -12.42%G +0.000%21.2%2026-04-07 16:49
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 39.87%EV -16.19%E -7.53%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -10.57%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-07 16:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-04-07 16:55