Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Osnabrück v Waldhof Mannheim

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prediction 57.70%1.73fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.82%57.89%57.53%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.601.7066.67%62.24%62.50%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Waldhof Mannheim (Visit)

Prediction 18.88%5.30fair odd
EV +3.81%
Edge +0.694%
Kelly +0.848%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.98%18.71%18.98%21.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.624.725.5023.81%21.66%21.16%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.43%4.27fair odd
EV -0.437%
Edge -0.103%
Kelly -0.134%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.52%23.40%23.49%25.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.843.804.2530.30%26.07%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 57.70%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visit): 18.88%; Draw: 23.43%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.81%E +0.694%K +0.848%G +0.032%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.95%E -0.964%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.38%EV -2.41%E -0.467%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.96%EV -3.01%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.35%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -0.437%E -0.103%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.35%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -0.437%E -0.103%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -8.26%E -5.20%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 12:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 12:55
Suprabets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -9.10%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:50
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -8.45%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.46%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -8.45%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.46%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:55
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -8.45%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.64%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.64%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:55
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -8.26%E -5.20%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:54
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.64%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:54
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.95%E -3.65%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.81%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:54
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:55
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -11.29%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.95%E -0.964%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -15.66%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-14 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:50
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.53%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.24%EV -18.27%E -4.22%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -22.69%E -6.88%K -9.87%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-14 12:55
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-03-14 12:55