La escuela de los momiosEspañol
VfL Osnabrück v Waldhof Mannheim
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
VfL Osnabrück (Local)
Predicción 57.70%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.82%57.89%57.53%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.601.7066.67%62.24%62.50%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Waldhof Mannheim (Visitante)
Predicción 18.88%5.30momio equitativo
EV +3.81%
Ventaja +0.694%
Kelly +0.848%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.98%18.71%18.98%21.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.624.725.5023.81%21.66%21.16%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.43%4.27momio equitativo
EV -0.437%
Ventaja -0.103%
Kelly -0.134%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.52%23.40%23.49%25.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.843.804.2530.30%26.07%26.32%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.81%E +0.694%K +0.848%G +0.032% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.95%E -0.964%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.38%EV -2.41%E -0.467%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.96%EV -3.01%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.35%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -0.437%E -0.103%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.35%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -0.437%E -0.103%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -8.26%E -5.20%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Suprabets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -9.10%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -8.45%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.46%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -8.45%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.46%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -8.45%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.64%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.64%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -8.26%E -5.20%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:54 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.64%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.95%E -3.65%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.81%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:54 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -11.29%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.95%E -0.964%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -15.66%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.53%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.24%EV -18.27%E -4.22%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -22.69%E -6.88%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 12:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |