L’École des cotes

VfL Osnabrück v Waldhof Mannheim

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prévision 57.70%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -2.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.82%57.89%57.53%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.601.7066.67%62.24%62.50%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waldhof Mannheim (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.88%5.30cote équitable
EV +3.81%
Avantage +0.694%
Kelly +0.848%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.98%18.71%18.98%21.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.624.725.5023.81%21.66%21.16%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.43%4.27cote équitable
EV -0.437%
Avantage -0.103%
Kelly -0.134%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.52%23.40%23.49%25.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.843.804.2530.30%26.07%26.32%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.81%E +0.694%K +0.848%G +0.032%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.95%E -0.964%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.38%EV -2.41%E -0.467%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.96%EV -3.01%E -0.728%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 12:45
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.35%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -0.437%E -0.103%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 12:55
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.35%EV -5.38%E -3.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -0.437%E -0.103%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -8.26%E -5.20%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 12:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 12:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 12:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 12:55
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -9.10%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:50
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -8.45%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.46%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -8.45%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.46%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:55
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -10.57%E -6.82%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -8.45%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.29%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:55
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -8.64%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.64%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:55
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -8.26%E -5.20%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:54
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -9.41%E -6.00%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.64%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:54
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.95%E -3.65%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.81%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:54
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:55
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -11.29%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.95%E -0.964%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -11.72%E -7.66%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -15.66%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-14 12:55
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -10.98%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:50
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 12:50
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 55.53%EV -13.45%E -8.97%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.24%EV -18.27%E -4.22%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -22.69%E -6.88%K -9.87%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-14 12:55
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -1.91%E -1.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 12:45
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -3.07%E -1.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.15%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 12:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-03-14 12:55