The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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VfL Osnabrück v Schweinfurt

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prediction 73.14%1.37fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -8.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.62%73.43%72.77%76.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.281.281.3383.33%78.06%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Schweinfurt (Visit)

Prediction 10.09%9.91fair odd
EV +5.91%
Edge +0.563%
Kelly +0.622%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.91%10.15%10.17%12.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.368.0010.5014.29%11.96%12.50%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.77%5.96fair odd
EV +17.40%
Edge +2.49%
Kelly +2.90%
Growth +0.505%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.47%16.42%17.06%19.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.205.007.0023.09%19.24%20.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 73.14%; Schweinfurt (Visit): 10.09%; Draw: 16.77%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.96. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.26%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +17.40%E +2.49%K +2.90%G +0.505%6.1%2026-04-04 11:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.867%E +0.087%K +0.096%G +0.001%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +10.69%E +1.62%K +1.91%G +0.204%5.2%2026-04-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.867%E +0.087%K +0.096%G +0.001%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +10.69%E +1.62%K +1.91%G +0.204%5.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.52%EV -9.30%E -7.50%K -38.77%G +0.000%10.47I 9.55%NM 9.06%EV +5.61%E +0.536%K +0.592%G +0.033%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.42%EV +10.36%E +1.57%K +1.86%G +0.192%5.4%2026-04-04 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -10.77%E -8.83%K -48.94%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +5.91%E +0.563%K +0.622%G +0.037%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +9.01%E +1.39%K +1.64%G +0.148%6.9%2026-04-04 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -2.73%E -0.470%K -0.568%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:54
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.56%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.55%EV -11.24%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.56%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.55%EV -11.24%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -7.11%E -5.60%K -26.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.78%EV -9.30%E -7.50%K -38.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -17.29%E -2.11%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.79%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:55
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:55
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:54
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 11:54
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.26%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.94%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.39%EV -10.77%E -8.83%K -48.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.68%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -22.85%E -4.97%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -29.39%E -4.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -24.53%E -5.45%K -7.01%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-04 11:28
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -12.23%E -10.19%K -61.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.13%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.28%EV -27.38%E -6.32%K -8.22%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-04 11:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-04 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.82%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.17%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01%2.0%2026-04-04 11:55