L’École des cotes

VfL Osnabrück v Schweinfurt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prévision 73.14%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -8.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.62%73.43%72.77%76.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.281.281.3383.33%78.06%78.13%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Schweinfurt (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.09%9.91cote équitable
EV +5.91%
Avantage +0.563%
Kelly +0.622%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.91%10.15%10.17%12.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.368.0010.5014.29%11.96%12.50%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.77%5.96cote équitable
EV +17.40%
Avantage +2.49%
Kelly +2.90%
Croissance +0.505%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.47%16.42%17.06%19.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.205.007.0023.09%19.24%20.00%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.26%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +17.40%E +2.49%K +2.90%G +0.505%6.1%2026-04-04 11:44
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.867%E +0.087%K +0.096%G +0.001%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +10.69%E +1.62%K +1.91%G +0.204%5.2%2026-04-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.867%E +0.087%K +0.096%G +0.001%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +10.69%E +1.62%K +1.91%G +0.204%5.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 76.52%EV -9.30%E -7.50%K -38.77%G +0.000%10.47I 9.55%NM 9.06%EV +5.61%E +0.536%K +0.592%G +0.033%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.42%EV +10.36%E +1.57%K +1.86%G +0.192%5.4%2026-04-04 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -10.77%E -8.83%K -48.94%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +5.91%E +0.563%K +0.622%G +0.037%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +9.01%E +1.39%K +1.64%G +0.148%6.9%2026-04-04 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -2.73%E -0.470%K -0.568%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 11:54
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:54
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.56%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.55%EV -11.24%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.56%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.55%EV -11.24%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -7.11%E -5.60%K -26.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:55
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.78%EV -9.30%E -7.50%K -38.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:55
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -17.29%E -2.11%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.79%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:55
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:55
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:54
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:54
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 11:54
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.26%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 11:30
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 69.94%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 11:54
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.39%EV -10.77%E -8.83%K -48.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.68%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -22.85%E -4.97%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 11:55
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -29.39%E -4.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -24.53%E -5.45%K -7.01%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-04 11:28
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -12.23%E -10.19%K -61.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.13%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.28%EV -27.38%E -6.32%K -8.22%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-04 11:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-04 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.82%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.17%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01%2.0%2026-04-04 11:55