A Escola das Odds

VfL Osnabrück v Schweinfurt

Início: 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Previsão 73.14%1.37odd justa
EV -2.72%
Vantagem -2.05%
Kelly -8.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.62%73.43%72.77%76.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.281.281.3383.33%78.06%78.13%75.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Schweinfurt (Visitante)

Previsão 10.09%9.91odd justa
EV +5.91%
Vantagem +0.563%
Kelly +0.622%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.91%10.15%10.17%12.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.008.368.0010.5014.29%11.96%12.50%9.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 16.77%5.96odd justa
EV +17.40%
Vantagem +2.49%
Kelly +2.90%
Crescimento +0.505%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.47%16.42%17.06%19.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.335.205.007.0023.09%19.24%20.00%14.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -14.26%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +17.40%E +2.49%K +2.90%G +0.505%6.1%2026-04-04 11:44
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.867%E +0.087%K +0.096%G +0.001%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +10.69%E +1.62%K +1.91%G +0.204%5.2%2026-04-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +0.867%E +0.087%K +0.096%G +0.001%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.41%EV +10.69%E +1.62%K +1.91%G +0.204%5.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 76.52%EV -9.30%E -7.50%K -38.77%G +0.000%10.47I 9.55%NM 9.06%EV +5.61%E +0.536%K +0.592%G +0.033%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.42%EV +10.36%E +1.57%K +1.86%G +0.192%5.4%2026-04-04 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -10.77%E -8.83%K -48.94%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +5.91%E +0.563%K +0.622%G +0.037%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +9.01%E +1.39%K +1.64%G +0.148%6.9%2026-04-04 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -2.73%E -0.470%K -0.568%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 11:54
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 11:54
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.56%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.55%EV -11.24%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.56%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.55%EV -11.24%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -7.11%E -5.60%K -26.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:55
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:54
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.78%EV -9.30%E -7.50%K -38.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:55
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.31%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -17.29%E -2.11%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -12.79%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:55
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -5.65%E -4.38%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:55
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:54
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:54
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -19.31%E -2.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 11:54
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -14.26%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 11:30
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -2.72%E -2.05%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:20
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 69.94%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -20.34%E -4.28%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 11:54
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.39%EV -10.77%E -8.83%K -48.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.68%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -22.85%E -4.97%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 11:55
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -29.39%E -4.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -24.53%E -5.45%K -7.01%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-04 11:28
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -12.23%E -10.19%K -61.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.13%EV -24.35%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.28%EV -27.38%E -6.32%K -8.22%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-04 11:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-04 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-04-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.82%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.17%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01%2.0%2026-04-04 11:55