TSV Havelse v VfB Stuttgart II

2026-08-08 12:00 — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

31%

44%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prediction 30.87%3.24fair odd

EV -7.39%

Edge -2.46%

Kelly -3.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.87%30.87%30.87%30.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.003.003.003.00MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

30.87%3.239Min

30.87%3.239Max

30.87%3.239Mean

30.87%3.239Median

30.87%3.239IQM

30.87%3.239Margin-weighted

VfB Stuttgart II (Visit)

Prediction 44.10%2.27fair odd

EV -7.39%

Edge -3.52%

Kelly -6.72%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.10%44.10%44.10%44.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.102.102.102.10MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

44.10%2.268Min

44.10%2.268Max

44.10%2.268Mean

44.10%2.268Median

44.10%2.268IQM

44.10%2.268Margin-weighted

Draw

Prediction 25.03%4.00fair odd

EV -7.39%

Edge -2.00%

Kelly -2.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.03%25.03%25.03%25.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.703.703.703.70MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

25.03%3.995Min

25.03%3.995Max

25.03%3.995Mean

25.03%3.995Median

25.03%3.995IQM

25.03%3.995Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	TSV Havelse (Local) ▼	VfB Stuttgart II (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.87%EV -7.39% E -2.46% K -3.69% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.10%EV -7.39% E -3.52% K -6.72% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.03%EV -7.39% E -2.00% K -2.74% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-08 21:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth