Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse v VfB Stuttgart II

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 12:00 UTC

Final: TSV Havelse 2–3 VfB Stuttgart II

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prediction 29.92%3.34fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.511%
Kelly +0.724%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%29.97%29.85%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.023.4037.04%33.07%33.06%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfB Stuttgart II (Visit)

Prediction 45.70%2.19fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.62%45.64%45.92%47.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.962.1054.64%50.84%51.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.38%4.10fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -0.832%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.53%24.39%24.23%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.753.774.0029.41%26.68%26.49%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Havelse (Local): 29.92%; VfB Stuttgart II (Visit): 45.70%; Draw: 24.38%. For TSV Havelse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.74%E +0.511%K +0.724%G +0.013%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -9.97%E -5.06%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:34
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.06%EV -2.15%E -0.658%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.13%EV -5.86%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.81%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:24
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.50%E -0.624%K -0.832%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 16:04
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 10:31
Suprabets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.72%EV -9.05%E -4.55%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:27
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 00:05
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 09:23
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 09:15
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -11.73%E -3.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.54%EV -7.23%E -3.56%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.50%E -0.624%K -0.832%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:19
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 11:54
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.68%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 11:55
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.68%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.68%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 11:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:19
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.66%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 09:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.66%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:45
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.27%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.37%EV -11.80%E -6.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 09:20
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.68%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 09:20
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.29%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.17%EV -16.37%E -8.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%18.3%2026-08-07 07:15
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 44.59%EV -14.54%E -7.77%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.12%E -5.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-08 04:34
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 44.59%EV -14.54%E -7.77%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.12%E -5.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-08 04:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%2.3%2026-08-08 11:55

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