Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse v VfB Stuttgart II

2026-08-08 12:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prediction 31.92%3.13fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.74%31.92%32.25%33.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.803.0038.46%36.08%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfB Stuttgart II (Visit)

Prediction 42.60%2.35fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.883%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.89%42.60%43.17%44.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.152.152.3051.02%46.58%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%25.49%24.58%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.503.8031.25%28.95%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.68%E -6.19%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.15%E -0.829%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-09 14:05
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.44%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -2.03%E -0.883%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -15.89%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -18.44%E -5.76%K -8.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-20 14:15
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -18.44%E -5.76%K -8.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-20 14:15
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -18.44%E -5.76%K -8.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-20 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -4.16%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -18.44%E -5.76%K -8.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-20 16:25
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -16.51%E -8.43%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -5.70%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.22%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.42%E -3.92%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 00:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.22%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.42%E -3.92%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 00:50
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.82%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -10.55%E -5.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -5.70%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 00:50
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.82%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.55%E -5.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.80%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-25 00:50
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -16.05%E -6.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -10.55%E -5.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-25 00:50
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 32.86%EV -17.01%E -6.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.72%EV -14.81%E -7.40%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -10.80%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-25 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:50