Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

TSV Havelse v VfB Stuttgart II

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 12:00 UTC

Score final : TSV Havelse 2–3 VfB Stuttgart II

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prévision 29.92%3.34cote équitable
EV +1.74%
Avantage +0.511%
Kelly +0.724%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%29.97%29.85%31.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.023.023.4037.04%33.07%33.06%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

VfB Stuttgart II (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.70%2.19cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -3.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.62%45.64%45.92%47.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.971.962.1054.64%50.84%51.02%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.38%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.624%
Kelly -0.832%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.53%24.39%24.23%25.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.753.774.0029.41%26.68%26.49%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : TSV Havelse (Local) : 29.92% ; VfB Stuttgart II (Visiteur) : 45.70% ; Match nul : 24.38%. Pour TSV Havelse (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.34. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +1.74%.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.74%E +0.511%K +0.724%G +0.013%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -9.97%E -5.06%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:34
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.06%EV -2.15%E -0.658%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.13%EV -5.86%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.81%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:24
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.50%E -0.624%K -0.832%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 16:04
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 10:31
Suprabets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.72%EV -9.05%E -4.55%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:27
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 00:05
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 09:23
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 09:15
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -11.73%E -3.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.54%EV -7.23%E -3.56%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.50%E -0.624%K -0.832%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:19
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 11:54
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.68%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 11:55
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.68%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.68%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 11:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:19
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.66%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 09:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.66%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:45
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.27%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.37%EV -11.80%E -6.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 09:20
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.68%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 09:20
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.29%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.17%EV -16.37%E -8.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%18.3%2026-08-07 07:15
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 44.59%EV -14.54%E -7.77%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.12%E -5.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-08 04:34
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 44.59%EV -14.54%E -7.77%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.12%E -5.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-08 04:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%2.3%2026-08-08 11:55