Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

TSV Havelse v VfB Stuttgart II

Início: 2026-08-08 12:00 UTC

Final: TSV Havelse 2–3 VfB Stuttgart II

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Previsão 29.92%3.34odd justa
EV +1.74%
Vantagem +0.511%
Kelly +0.724%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.44%29.97%29.85%31.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.703.023.023.4037.04%33.07%33.06%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VfB Stuttgart II (Visitante)

Previsão 45.70%2.19odd justa
EV -4.03%
Vantagem -1.92%
Kelly -3.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.62%45.64%45.92%47.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.971.962.1054.64%50.84%51.02%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.38%4.10odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -0.624%
Kelly -0.832%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.53%24.39%24.23%25.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.753.774.0029.41%26.68%26.49%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: TSV Havelse (Local): 29.92%; VfB Stuttgart II (Visitante): 45.70%; Empate: 24.38%. Para TSV Havelse (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.34. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.74%.

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.74%E +0.511%K +0.724%G +0.013%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -9.97%E -5.06%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:34
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.06%EV -2.15%E -0.658%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.13%EV -5.86%E -2.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.81%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:24
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -12.71%E -6.65%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.50%E -0.624%K -0.832%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 16:04
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 10:31
Suprabets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.72%EV -9.05%E -4.55%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:27
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 00:05
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 09:23
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:30
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 09:15
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -11.73%E -3.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.54%EV -7.23%E -3.56%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.50%E -0.624%K -0.832%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 09:19
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 11:54
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -4.93%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.68%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 11:55
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.68%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.68%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 11:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:19
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.66%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 09:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -13.82%E -4.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.66%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:45
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.27%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.37%EV -11.80%E -6.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 09:20
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.68%EV -10.88%E -5.58%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 09:20
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.29%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.17%EV -16.37%E -8.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%18.3%2026-08-07 07:15
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 44.59%EV -14.54%E -7.77%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.12%E -5.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-08 04:34
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 44.59%EV -14.54%E -7.77%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.12%E -5.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%19.9%2026-08-08 04:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%2.3%2026-08-08 11:55