Language:English
TSV Havelse v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSV Havelse (Local)
Prediction 21.37%4.68fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -0.783%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.75%21.38%21.39%22.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.204.204.5526.67%23.82%23.81%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit)
Prediction 56.78%1.76fair odd
EV -5.74%
Edge -3.46%
Kelly -8.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.79%56.91%56.70%58.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.621.6665.36%61.86%61.73%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.85%4.58fair odd
EV +0.506%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.140%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.32%21.71%21.91%25.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.304.033.984.6030.30%24.81%25.16%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Havelse (Local): 21.37%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit): 56.78%; Draw: 21.85%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.506%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +0.506%E +0.110%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 11:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -1.68%E -0.373%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 09:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.78%E -0.611%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.61%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.50%EV -3.43%E -0.775%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -3.86%E -0.878%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -6.87%E -4.19%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:22 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.71%E -6.11%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -4.92%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.00%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -9.33%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -4.92%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.00%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -9.33%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -11.33%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.04%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.09%EV -10.20%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -11.33%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.04%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.09%EV -10.20%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.43%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.85%E -6.91%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.08%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.32%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -16.67%E -4.27%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -10.85%E -6.91%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -16.97%E -4.47%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.26%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.56%EV -13.12%E -8.58%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.19%EV -21.34%E -5.93%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.79%EV -10.85%E -6.91%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -27.90%E -8.45%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.71% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |