La escuela de los momiosEspañol
TSV Havelse v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
TSV Havelse (Local)
Predicción 21.37%4.68momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -0.783%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.75%21.38%21.39%22.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.204.204.5526.67%23.82%23.81%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visitante)
Predicción 56.78%1.76momio equitativo
EV -5.74%
Ventaja -3.46%
Kelly -8.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.79%56.91%56.70%58.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.621.6665.36%61.86%61.73%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.85%4.58momio equitativo
EV +0.506%
Ventaja +0.110%
Kelly +0.140%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.32%21.71%21.91%25.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.304.033.984.6030.30%24.81%25.16%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +0.506%E +0.110%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 11:49 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -1.68%E -0.373%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 09:04 |
| Pinnacle | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.78%E -0.611%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.61%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.50%EV -3.43%E -0.775%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -3.86%E -0.878%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -6.87%E -4.19%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Suprabets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:22 |
| theScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.71%E -6.11%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -4.92%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.00%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -9.33%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -4.92%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.00%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -9.33%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -11.33%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.04%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.09%EV -10.20%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -11.33%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.04%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.09%EV -10.20%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.43%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 11:45 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.85%E -6.91%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 11:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.08%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:09 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.32%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -16.67%E -4.27%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -10.85%E -6.91%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -16.97%E -4.47%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.26%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.56%EV -13.12%E -8.58%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.19%EV -21.34%E -5.93%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.79%EV -10.85%E -6.91%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -27.90%E -8.45%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.71% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |