L’École des cotesFrançais
TSV Havelse v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
TSV Havelse (Local)
Prévision 21.37%4.68cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -0.611%
Kelly -0.783%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.75%21.38%21.39%22.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.204.204.5526.67%23.82%23.81%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur)
Prévision 56.78%1.76cote équitable
EV -5.74%
Avantage -3.46%
Kelly -8.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.79%56.91%56.70%58.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.621.621.6665.36%61.86%61.73%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.85%4.58cote équitable
EV +0.506%
Avantage +0.110%
Kelly +0.140%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.32%21.71%21.91%25.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.304.033.984.6030.30%24.81%25.16%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +0.506%E +0.110%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 11:49 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -1.68%E -0.373%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 09:04 |
| Pinnacle | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.78%E -0.611%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.61%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.50%EV -3.43%E -0.775%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -3.86%E -0.878%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.05%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -6.87%E -4.19%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Suprabets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:22 |
| theScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.71%E -6.11%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.23%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -4.92%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.00%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -9.33%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -4.92%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.00%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -9.33%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -11.33%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.04%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.09%EV -10.20%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -11.33%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.04%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.09%EV -10.20%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.42%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -8.12%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.43%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 11:45 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -8.58%E -5.33%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -10.85%E -6.91%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 11:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -12.60%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.08%EV -5.74%E -3.46%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:19 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -6.31%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.70%E -3.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:09 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.32%EV -11.98%E -7.73%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -14.79%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -16.67%E -4.27%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -10.85%E -6.91%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -16.97%E -4.47%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.26%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.56%EV -13.12%E -8.58%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.19%EV -21.34%E -5.93%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -19.87%E -5.30%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.79%EV -10.85%E -6.91%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -27.90%E -8.45%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.71% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |