Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.02
assuming max odds 3.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV 1860 München (Local): 39.61%; Jahn Regensburg (Visit): 33.40%; Draw: 26.99%. For Jahn Regensburg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.879%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%EV -7.72%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61%EV +0.879%E +0.291%K +0.435%G +0.004% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.43%EV -6.08%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -14.85%E -6.91%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.13%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 08:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -11.68%E -5.24%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.80%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -5.80%E -2.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -5.80%E -2.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.47%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.14%EV -9.30%E -4.06%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.47%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.14%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.19%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.83%EV -7.32%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.14%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.13%EV -12.82%E -3.97%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 16:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.77%EV -9.30%E -4.06%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 33.60%EV -9.48%E -3.50%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.63%EV -7.69%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.11%E -3.50%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.97%EV -10.48%E -3.91%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.48%E -4.33%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -11.48%E -4.33%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -12.48%E -4.76%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.89%E -4.84%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.48%E -4.76%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -13.63%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -16.33%E -5.27%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -14.82%E -5.81%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.81%EV -14.85%E -6.91%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.38%EV -16.49%E -6.60%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -19.03%E -6.34%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-12 16:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.28%EV -16.49%E -6.60%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.89%EV -22.27%E -7.73%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |