La scuola delle quote

TSV 1860 München v Jahn Regensburg

Inizio: 2026-04-12 17:30 UTC

Finale: TSV 1860 München 2–2 Jahn Regensburg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

TSV 1860 München (Casa)

Previsione 39.61%2.52quota equa
EV -4.94%
Vantaggio -2.06%
Kelly -3.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.66%39.57%39.65%42.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.262.292.4046.51%44.18%43.67%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jahn Regensburg (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.40%2.99quota equa
EV +0.879%
Vantaggio +0.291%
Kelly +0.435%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.47%33.41%33.36%34.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.742.753.0240.00%36.50%36.36%33.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.99%3.71quota equa
EV -4.19%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.08%27.02%26.99%28.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.343.353.5534.72%29.92%29.85%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%EV -7.72%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61%EV +0.879%E +0.291%K +0.435%G +0.004%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.43%EV -6.08%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -14.85%E -6.91%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.13%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 08:46
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -11.68%E -5.24%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.80%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:01
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:01
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:01
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:01
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:01
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:00
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:01
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -5.80%E -2.06%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -5.80%E -2.06%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.47%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 16:59
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 40.14%EV -9.30%E -4.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.47%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 17:01
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.14%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.19%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 17:00
Suprabets2.34I 42.74%NM 38.83%EV -7.32%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.14%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.13%EV -12.82%E -3.97%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 16:58
LowVig.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 39.77%EV -9.30%E -4.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.60%EV -9.48%E -3.50%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.63%EV -7.69%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 17:01
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:01
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:01
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.11%E -3.50%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.97%EV -10.48%E -3.91%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.48%E -4.33%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 17:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -11.48%E -4.33%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 17:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -12.48%E -4.76%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.89%E -4.84%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.48%E -4.76%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 17:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -13.63%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 17:00
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -16.33%E -5.27%K -7.78%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 17:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -14.82%E -5.81%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-12 17:01
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 38.81%EV -14.85%E -6.91%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.38%EV -16.49%E -6.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -19.03%E -6.34%K -9.52%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-12 16:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.28%EV -16.49%E -6.60%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.89%EV -22.27%E -7.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-12 17:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-04-12 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-04-12 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-04-12 17:00