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TSV 1860 München v Jahn Regensburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
TSV 1860 München (Local)
Predicción 39.61%2.52momio equitativo
EV -4.94%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -3.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.66%39.57%39.65%42.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.262.292.4046.51%44.18%43.67%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jahn Regensburg (Visitante)
Predicción 33.40%2.99momio equitativo
EV +0.879%
Ventaja +0.291%
Kelly +0.435%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.47%33.41%33.36%34.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.742.753.0240.00%36.50%36.36%33.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.99%3.71momio equitativo
EV -4.19%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%27.02%26.99%28.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.353.5534.72%29.92%29.85%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: TSV 1860 München (Local): 39.61%; Jahn Regensburg (Visitante): 33.40%; Empate: 26.99%. Para Jahn Regensburg (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.99. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.02, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.879%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%EV -7.72%E -3.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.61%EV +0.879%E +0.291%K +0.435%G +0.004% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.43%EV -6.08%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -14.85%E -6.91%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.13%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 08:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -11.68%E -5.24%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -3.80%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -4.80%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -5.80%E -2.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -5.80%E -2.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.47%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.14%EV -9.30%E -4.06%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.47%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.14%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.19%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.83%EV -7.32%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -8.14%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.13%EV -12.82%E -3.97%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 16:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.77%EV -9.30%E -4.06%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 33.60%EV -9.48%E -3.50%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.63%EV -7.69%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.63%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.11%E -3.50%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.97%EV -10.48%E -3.91%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.48%E -4.33%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -11.48%E -4.33%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.63%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -12.48%E -4.76%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.89%E -4.84%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.48%E -4.76%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.91%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -13.63%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -13.15%E -5.06%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -16.33%E -5.27%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -14.82%E -5.81%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.81%EV -14.85%E -6.91%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.38%EV -16.49%E -6.60%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -19.03%E -6.34%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-12 16:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -12.87%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.28%EV -16.49%E -6.60%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.89%EV -22.27%E -7.73%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |