A Escola das Odds

TSG Hoffenheim II v Schweinfurt

Início: 2026-04-10 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)

Previsão 64.07%1.56odd justa
EV -3.89%
Vantagem -2.59%
Kelly -7.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.87%64.23%64.05%66.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.331.441.441.5075.19%69.64%69.44%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Schweinfurt (Visitante)

Previsão 17.06%5.86odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -0.334%
Kelly -0.405%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.71%17.14%16.92%19.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.605.135.105.7521.74%19.49%19.61%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 18.87%5.30odd justa
EV +3.78%
Vantagem +0.688%
Kelly +0.841%
Crescimento +0.032%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.97%18.64%19.03%22.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.564.505.5026.67%21.91%22.22%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.66%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -2.78%E -0.487%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV +3.78%E +0.688%K +0.841%G +0.032%7.2%2026-04-10 16:39
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.04%EV -10.11%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.71%EV +1.33%E +0.248%K +0.305%G +0.004%5.2%2026-04-10 16:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -7.09%E -4.89%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -18.98%E -4.00%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -0.933%E -0.178%K -0.219%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.58%EV -6.45%E -4.42%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.30%E -2.17%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 16:54
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.38%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:47
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -12.86%E -9.46%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -7.09%E -4.89%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.19%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -9.42%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 08:14
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.99%EV -8.38%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.42%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:30
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -11.58%E -8.39%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -1.92%E -0.334%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -9.42%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 63.44%EV -8.38%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.62%EV -12.16%E -2.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 18.94%EV -9.61%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 16:55
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 63.44%EV -8.38%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.62%EV -12.16%E -2.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 18.94%EV -9.61%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 16:55
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -1.92%E -0.334%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -10.37%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 13:25
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.19%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.37%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 04:24
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 64.68%EV -14.78%E -11.11%K -44.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.21%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.11%EV -10.37%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-10 16:39
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.02%E -6.35%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.19%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -13.20%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 11:14
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -13.20%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 16:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -13.20%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -13.20%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 16:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 62.95%EV -12.86%E -9.46%K -35.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -18.98%E -4.00%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%EV -15.09%E -3.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-10 16:39
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 62.95%EV -12.86%E -9.46%K -35.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -18.98%E -4.00%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%EV -15.09%E -3.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-09 18:15
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.97%E -3.86%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.97%E -3.86%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 04:10
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.97%E -3.86%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.97%E -3.86%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 04:09
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -18.86%E -4.39%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 61.14%EV -12.86%E -9.46%K -35.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.08%EV -21.54%E -4.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -24.52%E -6.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-10 16:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -12.86%E -9.46%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -29.24%E -7.80%K -10.63%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-10 13:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%1.6%2026-04-10 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%1.6%2026-04-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%1.6%2026-04-10 16:50