L’École des cotes

TSG Hoffenheim II v Schweinfurt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)

Prévision 64.07%1.56cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -7.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.87%64.23%64.05%66.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.441.441.5075.19%69.64%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Schweinfurt (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.06%5.86cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.334%
Kelly -0.405%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.71%17.14%16.92%19.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.135.105.7521.74%19.49%19.61%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.87%5.30cote équitable
EV +3.78%
Avantage +0.688%
Kelly +0.841%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.97%18.64%19.03%22.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.564.505.5026.67%21.91%22.22%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.66%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.74%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -2.78%E -0.487%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV +3.78%E +0.688%K +0.841%G +0.032%7.2%2026-04-10 16:39
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.04%EV -10.11%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.71%EV +1.33%E +0.248%K +0.305%G +0.004%5.2%2026-04-10 16:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -7.09%E -4.89%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -18.98%E -4.00%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -0.933%E -0.178%K -0.219%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.58%EV -6.45%E -4.42%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -11.30%E -2.17%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 16:54
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.38%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:47
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -12.86%E -9.46%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -5.65%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -7.09%E -4.89%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.19%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -9.42%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 08:14
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.99%EV -8.38%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -7.89%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.42%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:30
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -11.58%E -8.39%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -1.92%E -0.334%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -9.42%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 63.44%EV -8.38%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.62%EV -12.16%E -2.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 18.94%EV -9.61%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 16:55
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 63.44%EV -8.38%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.62%EV -12.16%E -2.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 18.94%EV -9.61%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 16:55
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -1.92%E -0.334%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -10.37%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 13:25
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.19%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.37%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 04:24
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 64.68%EV -14.78%E -11.11%K -44.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.21%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.11%EV -10.37%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-10 16:39
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.02%E -6.35%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.19%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -13.20%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 11:14
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -13.20%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 16:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -13.20%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.12%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -13.20%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 16:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 62.95%EV -12.86%E -9.46%K -35.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -18.98%E -4.00%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%EV -15.09%E -3.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-10 16:39
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 62.95%EV -12.86%E -9.46%K -35.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -18.98%E -4.00%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%EV -15.09%E -3.35%K -4.31%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-09 18:15
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.97%E -3.86%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.97%E -3.86%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 04:10
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.97%E -3.86%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.97%E -3.86%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 04:09
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -18.86%E -4.39%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -13.01%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.80%E -4.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 61.14%EV -12.86%E -9.46%K -35.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.08%EV -21.54%E -4.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -24.52%E -6.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-10 16:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -12.86%E -9.46%K -35.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -29.24%E -7.80%K -10.63%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-10 13:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%1.6%2026-04-10 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%1.6%2026-04-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.57%1.6%2026-04-10 16:50