Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSG Hoffenheim II v Hansa Rostock

2026-08-09 11:30 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)

Prediction 22.73%4.40fair odd
EV +0.011%
Edge +0.003%
Kelly +0.003%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.98%22.73%23.39%26.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.873.904.4030.30%25.87%25.64%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hansa Rostock (Visit)

Prediction 53.83%1.86fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.22%53.83%53.54%55.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.671.8062.50%58.88%59.88%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.44%4.27fair odd
EV -6.23%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.31%23.44%23.07%26.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.743.804.0029.41%26.72%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV +0.011%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -11.18%E -6.78%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-22 15:40
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -3.11%E -1.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -5.80%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -20.30%E -5.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 15:35
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -5.80%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -20.30%E -5.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 15:35
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -5.80%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -20.30%E -5.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -5.80%E -3.32%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -20.30%E -5.97%K -8.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 15:35
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -11.35%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.09%EV -13.88%E -8.67%K -23.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%EV -7.40%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-27 16:50
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -13.63%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.56%EV -9.03%E -5.34%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.63%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.11%E -6.05%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 15:40
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.63%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.11%E -6.05%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -6.23%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 15:40
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.52%EV -10.65%E -6.41%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -8.57%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 15:40
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -20.45%E -5.84%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -10.11%E -6.05%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -15.61%E -4.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-26 15:40
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -24.99%E -7.57%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.40%EV -10.11%E -6.05%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.59%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-26 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.