The School of Odds

TSG Hoffenheim II v Hansa Rostock

2026-08-08 12:00 — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)

Prediction 21.99%4.55fair odd
EV -7.64%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%21.99%21.99%21.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.204.204.20MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
21.99%4.548Min
21.99%4.548Max
21.99%4.548Mean
21.99%4.548Median
21.99%4.548IQM
21.99%4.548Margin-weighted

Hansa Rostock (Visit)

Prediction 54.33%1.84fair odd
EV -7.64%
Edge -4.50%
Kelly -10.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.33%54.33%54.33%54.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.701.701.70MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
54.33%1.841Min
54.33%1.841Max
54.33%1.841Mean
54.33%1.841Median
54.33%1.841IQM
54.33%1.841Margin-weighted

Draw

Prediction 23.68%4.22fair odd
EV -7.64%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.68%23.68%23.68%23.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.903.903.903.90MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
23.68%4.223Min
23.68%4.223Max
23.68%4.223Mean
23.68%4.223Median
23.68%4.223IQM
23.68%4.223Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTSG Hoffenheim II (Local) ▼Hansa Rostock (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81% NM 21.99%EV -7.64% E -1.82% K -2.39% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.33%EV -7.64% E -4.50% K -10.92% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.68%EV -7.64% E -1.96% K -2.64% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth