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TSG Hoffenheim II v Hansa Rostock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Prediction 21.43%4.67fair odd
EV +7.17%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.129%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.15%21.47%21.54%24.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.384.305.0027.03%22.82%23.26%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hansa Rostock (Visit)
Prediction 56.76%1.76fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -6.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.54%56.81%56.68%61.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.591.6866.67%63.19%62.89%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.81%4.59fair odd
EV +6.87%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.121%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.07%21.72%21.77%23.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.104.204.9027.78%24.42%23.81%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSG Hoffenheim II (Local): 21.43%; Hansa Rostock (Visit): 56.76%; Draw: 21.81%. For TSG Hoffenheim II (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV +5.03%E +1.03%K +1.29%G +0.065% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -14.30%E -9.47%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV +6.87%E +1.40%K +1.76%G +0.121% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV +0.743%E +0.158%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.27%EV -10.33%E -6.54%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -1.86%E -0.412%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.54%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.22%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.54%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.22%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -6.76%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -7.19%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.50%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.04%E -0.917%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -7.19%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -7.19%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.04%E -0.917%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.29%EV -7.49%E -4.59%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -10.58%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.58%EV -9.76%E -6.14%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 11:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -8.90%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.10%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -16.03%E -4.16%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.76%E -6.14%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 10:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.12%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -7.49%E -4.59%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 11:22 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -18.21%E -4.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.69%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%EV -21.48%E -5.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -16.40%E -4.21%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -16.40%E -4.21%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -18.55%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -18.55%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.02%EV -13.16%E -8.60%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -20.69%E -5.59%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.39%EV -13.16%E -8.60%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -21.48%E -5.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-08-09 11:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -20.69%E -5.59%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.39%EV -13.16%E -8.60%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -21.48%E -5.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.03% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 1.4% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.64% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
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