Idioma:Español
TSG Hoffenheim II v Hansa Rostock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Predicción 21.43%4.67momio equitativo
EV +7.17%
Ventaja +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.129%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.15%21.47%21.54%24.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.704.384.305.0027.03%22.82%23.26%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hansa Rostock (Visitante)
Predicción 56.76%1.76momio equitativo
EV -4.65%
Ventaja -2.77%
Kelly -6.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.54%56.81%56.68%61.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.591.6866.67%63.19%62.89%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.81%4.59momio equitativo
EV +6.87%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.121%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.07%21.72%21.77%23.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.104.204.9027.78%24.42%23.81%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: TSG Hoffenheim II (Local): 21.43%; Hansa Rostock (Visitante): 56.76%; Empate: 21.81%. Para TSG Hoffenheim II (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.67. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.17%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV +5.03%E +1.03%K +1.29%G +0.065% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -14.30%E -9.47%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV +6.87%E +1.40%K +1.76%G +0.121% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV +0.743%E +0.158%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.27%EV -10.33%E -6.54%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -1.86%E -0.412%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.54%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.22%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.54%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.22%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -6.76%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -7.19%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.50%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.04%E -0.917%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -7.19%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -7.19%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.04%E -0.917%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.29%EV -7.49%E -4.59%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -10.58%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.58%EV -9.76%E -6.14%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 11:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -8.90%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.10%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -16.03%E -4.16%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.76%E -6.14%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 10:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.12%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -7.49%E -4.59%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 11:22 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -18.21%E -4.86%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.69%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%EV -21.48%E -5.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -16.40%E -4.21%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -16.40%E -4.21%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -18.55%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -18.55%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.02%EV -13.16%E -8.60%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -20.69%E -5.59%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.39%EV -13.16%E -8.60%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -21.48%E -5.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-08-09 11:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -20.69%E -5.59%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.39%EV -13.16%E -8.60%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -21.48%E -5.97%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.03% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 1.4% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.64% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |