Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

TSG Hoffenheim II v Hansa Rostock

Início: 2026-08-09 11:30 UTC

Final: TSG Hoffenheim II 2–3 Hansa Rostock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)

Previsão 21.43%4.67odd justa
EV +7.17%
Vantagem +1.43%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescimento +0.129%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.15%21.47%21.54%24.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.384.305.0027.03%22.82%23.26%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Previsão 56.76%1.76odd justa
EV -4.65%
Vantagem -2.77%
Kelly -6.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.54%56.81%56.68%61.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.581.591.6866.67%63.19%62.89%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.81%4.59odd justa
EV +6.87%
Vantagem +1.40%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescimento +0.121%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.07%21.72%21.77%23.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.104.204.9027.78%24.42%23.81%20.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: TSG Hoffenheim II (Local): 21.43%; Hansa Rostock (Visitante): 56.76%; Empate: 21.81%. Para TSG Hoffenheim II (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.67. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:50
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:50
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:49
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +7.17%E +1.43%K +1.79%G +0.129%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -14.87%E -9.91%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV +5.03%E +1.03%K +1.29%G +0.065%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -14.30%E -9.47%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV +6.87%E +1.40%K +1.76%G +0.121%7.0%2026-08-09 11:08
LowVig.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV +0.743%E +0.158%K +0.201%G +0.001%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.27%EV -10.33%E -6.54%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -1.86%E -0.412%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.54%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.22%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.54%E -0.788%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.22%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -6.76%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 11:20
Pinnacle🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -7.19%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.50%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.04%E -0.917%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -7.19%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 11:20
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -7.19%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.04%E -0.917%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:20
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -6.92%E -4.22%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.29%EV -7.49%E -4.59%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -10.58%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:20
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -7.83%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.58%EV -9.76%E -6.14%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:21
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -8.90%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.10%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 11:25
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -16.03%E -4.16%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 11:20
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.76%E -6.14%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 11:20
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 11:20
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 10:45
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.97%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 10:45
Suprabets🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.12%E -2.96%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -7.49%E -4.59%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:22
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.94%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 11:25
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -18.21%E -4.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:10
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.19%E -5.74%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 11:20
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -14.26%E -3.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.69%EV -10.89%E -6.94%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%EV -21.48%E -5.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-09 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -16.40%E -4.21%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -16.40%E -4.21%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -17.12%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -18.55%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -5.22%E -3.12%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -5.56%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 11:20
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -18.55%E -4.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.02%EV -13.16%E -8.60%K -24.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-09 11:15
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -20.69%E -5.59%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.39%EV -13.16%E -8.60%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -21.48%E -5.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-09 11:14
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -20.69%E -5.59%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.39%EV -13.16%E -8.60%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.12%EV -21.48%E -5.97%K -8.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-09 11:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%1.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%1.8%2026-08-09 11:25