默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSG Hoffenheim II v FC Ingolstadt 04

开赛时间: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSG Hoffenheim II (主队)

预测 40.31%2.48公平赔率
EV -4.87%
优势 -2.06%
Kelly -3.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.36

博彩公司预测分布
39.18%40.42%40.27%41.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.36%44.44%42.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Ingolstadt 04 (客队)

预测 35.35%2.83公平赔率
EV -4.55%
优势 -1.69%
Kelly -2.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
34.28%35.27%35.36%36.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.542.552.7042.02%39.33%39.22%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.34%4.11公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -0.660%
Kelly -0.879%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
22.95%24.30%24.38%26.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.673.704.0032.26%27.22%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:TSG Hoffenheim II (主队):40.31%;FC Ingolstadt 04 (客队):35.35%;平局:24.34%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.11。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为4.00,期望值为-2.64%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.89%EV -4.87%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -6.68%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.48%E -2.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.48%E -2.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -4.55%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -6.32%E -2.39%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 12:05
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 12:25
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 12:45
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:14
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 12:07
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 12:20
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 13:19
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 12:04
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 12:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:10
Suprabets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.65%EV -10.11%E -4.53%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -12.33%E -4.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.70%EV -12.86%E -3.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-24 03:19
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -2.64%E -0.660%K -0.879%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 06:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 12:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 12:20
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -13.33%E -6.20%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -13.39%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.28%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.55%EV -15.87%E -6.67%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.17%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-20 06:40
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.70%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.87%E -6.67%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -19.68%E -5.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-21 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.18%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.28%EV -15.16%E -6.32%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -24.54%E -7.92%K -11.69%G +0.000%21.5%2026-04-18 14:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 39.97%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%10.7%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 39.97%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%10.7%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 39.97%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%10.7%2026-04-24 01:55