A Escola das Odds

TSG Hoffenheim II v FC Ingolstadt 04

Início: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)

Previsão 40.31%2.48odd justa
EV -4.87%
Vantagem -2.06%
Kelly -3.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.18%40.42%40.27%41.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.36%44.44%42.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visitante)

Previsão 35.35%2.83odd justa
EV -4.55%
Vantagem -1.69%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.28%35.27%35.36%36.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.542.552.7042.02%39.33%39.22%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.34%4.11odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -0.660%
Kelly -0.879%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.95%24.30%24.38%26.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.673.704.0032.26%27.22%27.03%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 39.89%EV -4.87%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -6.68%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 14:35
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.48%E -2.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.48%E -2.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -4.55%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -6.32%E -2.39%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 12:05
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 12:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 12:45
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:14
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:14
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:14
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 12:15
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 12:07
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 12:20
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 13:20
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 13:19
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 12:04
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 12:04
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.33%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 12:10
Suprabets2.23I 44.84%NM 39.65%EV -10.11%E -4.53%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -12.33%E -4.97%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.70%EV -12.86%E -3.59%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-24 03:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -2.64%E -0.660%K -0.879%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 06:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 11:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 14:35
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 12:30
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 12:20
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -13.33%E -6.20%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -13.39%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 12:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.28%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.55%EV -15.87%E -6.67%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.17%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-20 06:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 39.70%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.87%E -6.67%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -19.68%E -5.96%K -8.56%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-21 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.18%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.28%EV -15.16%E -6.32%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -24.54%E -7.92%K -11.69%G +0.000%21.5%2026-04-18 14:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 39.97%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%10.7%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 39.97%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%10.7%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 39.97%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%10.7%2026-04-24 01:55