L’École des cotesFrançais
TSG Hoffenheim II v FC Ingolstadt 04
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Prévision 40.31%2.48cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -3.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.18%40.42%40.27%41.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.3647.62%44.36%44.44%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.35%2.83cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.28%35.27%35.36%36.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.542.552.7042.02%39.33%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.34%4.11cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.660%
Kelly -0.879%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.95%24.30%24.38%26.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.673.704.0032.26%27.22%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.89%EV -4.87%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -6.68%E -2.53%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.48%E -2.79%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.48%E -2.79%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -4.55%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -6.32%E -2.39%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 12:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -6.29%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 12:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 12:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:14 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.29%E -3.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 12:07 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 13:19 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-20 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-20 12:04 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-20 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.30%E -4.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-20 12:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.13%EV -9.71%E -4.33%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| Suprabets | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.65%EV -10.11%E -4.53%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -12.33%E -4.97%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.70%EV -12.86%E -3.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-24 03:19 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -2.64%E -0.660%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 06:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -8.72%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 14:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.32%E -5.15%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -13.33%E -6.20%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -13.39%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.28%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.55%EV -15.87%E -6.67%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.17%EV -14.81%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-20 06:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.70%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.87%E -6.67%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -19.68%E -5.96%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-21 08:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.18%EV -15.35%E -7.31%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.28%EV -15.16%E -6.32%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -24.54%E -7.92%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 21.5% | 2026-04-18 14:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.97% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.97% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.97% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |