La scuola delle quote

TSG Hoffenheim II v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Inizio: 2026-05-10 17:30 UTC

Finale: TSG Hoffenheim II 3–2 1. FC Saarbrücken

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

TSG Hoffenheim II (Casa)

Previsione 29.23%3.42quota equa
EV -3.24%
Vantaggio -0.979%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.49%29.16%29.31%30.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.133.133.3135.71%31.91%31.95%30.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1. FC Saarbrücken (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.54%2.10quota equa
EV -5.88%
Vantaggio -2.97%
Kelly -6.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.93%47.64%47.53%49.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.911.911.9857.14%52.48%52.36%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.23%4.30quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -0.410%
Kelly -0.537%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.27%23.20%23.16%25.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.813.754.2331.25%26.23%26.67%23.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 28.74%EV -3.24%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -1.74%E -0.410%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:25
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.43%E -0.579%K -0.760%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 17:24
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 17:20
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 17:19
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 17:20
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 17:20
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 17:19
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 17:19
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 17:20
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 17:19
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 17:20
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 17:19
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 17:20
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 17:20
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.72%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 17:24
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.92%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 17:24
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.92%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 17:24
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 17:24
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.56%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 17:20
Suprabets3.13I 31.95%NM 29.01%EV -8.50%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -10.63%E -5.65%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 17:18
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -5.88%E -2.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 17:19
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.64%EV -7.78%E -4.01%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -4.76%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 17:25
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.78%E -4.01%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.24%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 17:24
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 17:20
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.72%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 17:19
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.40%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 17:16
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 17:19
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 17:19
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 17:19
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 17:20
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 17:20
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 17:19
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -11.11%E -5.94%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.72%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 17:18
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -15.23%E -5.25%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.33%EV -13.01%E -7.11%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.80%EV -11.72%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-10 17:20
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -15.23%E -5.25%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.47%EV -12.06%E -6.52%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%EV -16.37%E -4.55%K -6.30%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-10 17:19
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -15.81%E -5.49%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.35%EV -16.81%E -9.61%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.27%EV -11.72%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-10 17:19
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -15.81%E -5.49%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -14.43%E -8.02%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -21.02%E -6.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%19.7%2026-05-10 17:22
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.37%EV -18.15%E -6.48%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -13.01%E -7.11%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.70%EV -25.66%E -8.02%K -11.66%G +0.000%21.6%2026-05-10 17:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.1%2026-05-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.1%2026-05-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.1%2026-05-10 17:25