La escuela de los momiosEspañol
TSG Hoffenheim II v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Predicción 29.23%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -0.979%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.49%29.16%29.31%30.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.133.3135.71%31.91%31.95%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visitante)
Predicción 47.54%2.10momio equitativo
EV -5.88%
Ventaja -2.97%
Kelly -6.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.93%47.64%47.53%49.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.911.911.9857.14%52.48%52.36%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.23%4.30momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.410%
Kelly -0.537%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.27%23.20%23.16%25.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.813.754.2331.25%26.23%26.67%23.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.74%EV -3.24%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -1.74%E -0.410%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.43%E -0.579%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.00%EV -10.15%E -5.37%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.72%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.92%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.92%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -9.68%E -5.09%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.56%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Suprabets | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.01%EV -8.50%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -10.63%E -5.65%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 17:18 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -5.88%E -2.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.64%EV -7.78%E -4.01%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -4.76%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 17:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.78%E -4.01%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.24%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.72%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.40%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 17:16 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.89%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.20%E -4.82%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.08%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -7.30%E -3.74%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.05%E -3.80%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -11.11%E -5.94%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.72%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 17:18 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -15.23%E -5.25%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.33%EV -13.01%E -7.11%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.80%EV -11.72%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -15.23%E -5.25%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.47%EV -12.06%E -6.52%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%EV -16.37%E -4.55%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -15.81%E -5.49%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.35%EV -16.81%E -9.61%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.27%EV -11.72%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -15.81%E -5.49%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -14.43%E -8.02%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -21.02%E -6.18%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-05-10 17:22 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.37%EV -18.15%E -6.48%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -13.01%E -7.11%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.70%EV -25.66%E -8.02%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 17:25 |