Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Meppen v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Kickoff: 2026-09-15 17:00 UTC

Final: SV Meppen 1–3 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Meppen (Local)

Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.54%32.46%32.41%33.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.802.9538.46%35.77%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)

Prediction 42.90%2.33fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.73%42.85%42.95%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.122.152.2351.81%47.10%46.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.64%4.06fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.77%24.69%24.64%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.603.9030.30%27.54%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Meppen (Local): 32.46%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 42.90%; Draw: 24.64%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -3.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.18%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.18%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.52%EV -4.41%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:10
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 16:35
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:26
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:26
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:15
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:11
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:10
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 16:34
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.76%EV -6.90%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 15:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 10:05
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.67%EV -11.19%E -5.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.04%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 16:45
Suprabets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 32.90%EV -10.41%E -3.77%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.43%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.67%EV -9.34%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 16:40
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 10:10
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.75%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -12.35%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -15.01%E -4.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-15 16:25
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -12.35%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.17%EV -12.35%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.01%EV -13.34%E -6.60%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-15 16:48
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 31.73%EV -14.95%E -5.71%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 43.08%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -18.70%E -5.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-15 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -15.60%E -6.00%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -14.19%E -7.10%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-15 16:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -15.60%E -6.00%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.72%EV -16.34%E -8.38%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -18.70%E -5.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-15 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-15 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-15 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-15 16:45