Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Meppen v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Início: 2026-09-15 17:00 UTC

Final: SV Meppen 1–3 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Meppen (Local)

Previsão 32.46%3.08odd justa
EV -4.24%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.54%32.46%32.41%33.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.802.802.9538.46%35.77%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visitante)

Previsão 42.90%2.33odd justa
EV -4.33%
Vantagem -1.94%
Kelly -3.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.73%42.85%42.95%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.122.152.2351.81%47.10%46.62%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.64%4.06odd justa
EV -3.92%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.77%24.69%24.64%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.633.603.9030.30%27.54%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SV Meppen (Local): 32.46%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visitante): 42.90%; Empate: 24.64%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.06. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.90, com valor esperado de -3.92%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.18%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.18%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.52%EV -4.41%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:10
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 16:35
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:26
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:26
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:15
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:11
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:10
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 16:34
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.76%EV -6.90%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 15:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 10:05
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.67%EV -11.19%E -5.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.04%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 16:45
Suprabets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 32.90%EV -10.41%E -3.77%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.43%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.67%EV -9.34%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 16:40
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 10:10
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.75%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -12.35%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -15.01%E -4.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-15 16:25
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -12.35%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.17%EV -12.35%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.01%EV -13.34%E -6.60%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-15 16:48
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 31.73%EV -14.95%E -5.71%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 43.08%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -18.70%E -5.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-15 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -15.60%E -6.00%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -14.19%E -7.10%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-15 16:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -15.60%E -6.00%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.72%EV -16.34%E -8.38%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -18.70%E -5.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-15 16:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-15 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-15 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-15 16:45