Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SV Meppen v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-15 17:00 UTC

Score final : SV Meppen 1–3 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SV Meppen (Local)

Prévision 32.46%3.08cote équitable
EV -4.24%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.54%32.46%32.41%33.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.802.9538.46%35.77%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.90%2.33cote équitable
EV -4.33%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -3.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.73%42.85%42.95%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.122.152.2351.81%47.10%46.62%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.64%4.06cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.77%24.69%24.64%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.603.9030.30%27.54%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SV Meppen (Local) : 32.46% ; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visiteur) : 42.90% ; Match nul : 24.64%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.06. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.90, pour une espérance de -3.92% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.18%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.18%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.52%EV -4.41%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.62%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 15:10
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 16:35
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:26
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:26
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -6.47%E -2.97%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 15:15
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:11
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 15:10
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 16:34
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.76%EV -6.90%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -5.15%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 15:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 10:05
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.67%EV -11.19%E -5.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.04%EV -7.37%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.85%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 16:45
Suprabets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 32.90%EV -10.41%E -3.77%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.43%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.67%EV -9.34%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 16:40
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.38%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 10:10
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.75%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -10.08%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -12.35%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -15.01%E -4.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-15 16:25
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -12.35%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-15 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.17%EV -12.35%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.01%EV -13.34%E -6.60%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -13.78%E -3.94%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-15 16:48
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 31.73%EV -14.95%E -5.71%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 43.08%EV -17.20%E -8.91%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -18.70%E -5.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-15 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -15.60%E -6.00%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -14.19%E -7.10%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -11.31%E -3.14%K -4.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-15 16:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -15.60%E -6.00%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.72%EV -16.34%E -8.38%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -18.70%E -5.67%K -8.13%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-15 16:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-15 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-15 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-15 16:45