Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.47
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 3.88
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Meppen (Local): 29.52%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit): 44.76%; Draw: 25.72%. For SV Meppen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.45%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.02%EV +2.45%E +0.706%K +0.992%G +0.024% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.82%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -0.210%E -0.054%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 04:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.57%E -0.778%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.05%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.05%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -3.55%E -0.947%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.25%E -4.02%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 13:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 14:27 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -13.17%E -6.79%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.57%EV -10.84%E -3.59%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.77%EV -8.70%E -4.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.84%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 14:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -12.90%E -4.37%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.16%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.04%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-04 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.31%EV -18.81%E -6.84%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.64%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.05%EV -17.70%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.31%EV -18.81%E -6.84%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.64%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.05%EV -17.70%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -22.65%E -8.64%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV +0.702%E +0.312%K +0.561%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -22.65%E -8.64%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV +0.702%E +0.312%K +0.561%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -22.65%E -8.64%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV +0.702%E +0.312%K +0.561%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |