Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SV Meppen v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Score final : SV Meppen 1–6 1. FC Saarbrücken

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SV Meppen (Local)

Prévision 29.52%3.39cote équitable
EV +2.45%
Avantage +0.706%
Kelly +0.992%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 3.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.02%29.66%29.59%34.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.623.063.103.4738.17%32.65%32.26%28.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.76%2.23cote équitable
EV +0.702%
Avantage +0.312%
Kelly +0.561%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.67%44.71%44.75%48.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.021.992.2552.36%49.56%50.25%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.72%3.89cote équitable
EV -0.210%
Avantage -0.054%
Kelly -0.073%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.16%25.63%25.66%26.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.523.553.8831.25%28.44%28.17%25.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SV Meppen (Local) : 29.52% ; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur) : 44.76% ; Match nul : 25.72%. Pour SV Meppen (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.39. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.47, soit une espérance positive de +2.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 27.02%EV +2.45%E +0.706%K +0.992%G +0.024%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.82%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -0.210%E -0.054%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 04:05
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.57%E -0.778%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.05%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.05%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -3.55%E -0.947%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 21:35
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 21:35
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 21:35
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 21:35
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:05
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.25%E -4.02%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 11:50
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:05
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 13:30
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-02 21:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 13:05
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:05
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:05
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:27
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -13.17%E -6.79%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 13:30
Suprabets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 29.57%EV -10.84%E -3.59%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.77%EV -8.70%E -4.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.84%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 14:11
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-04 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -12.90%E -4.37%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.16%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 13:10
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.04%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-04 11:59
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.31%EV -18.81%E -6.84%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.64%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.05%EV -17.70%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-04 14:19
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.31%EV -18.81%E -6.84%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.64%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.05%EV -17.70%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-04 14:20
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -22.65%E -8.64%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV +0.702%E +0.312%K +0.561%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -22.65%E -8.64%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV +0.702%E +0.312%K +0.561%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -22.65%E -8.64%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV +0.702%E +0.312%K +0.561%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.9%2026-09-04 14:10