Idioma:Español
SV Meppen v 1. FC Saarbrücken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SV Meppen (Local)
Predicción 29.52%3.39momio equitativo
EV +2.45%
Ventaja +0.706%
Kelly +0.992%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.02%29.66%29.59%34.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.623.063.103.4738.17%32.65%32.26%28.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
1. FC Saarbrücken (Visitante)
Predicción 44.76%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.702%
Ventaja +0.312%
Kelly +0.561%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.67%44.71%44.75%48.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.021.992.2552.36%49.56%50.25%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.72%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.210%
Ventaja -0.054%
Kelly -0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.16%25.63%25.66%26.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.523.553.8831.25%28.44%28.17%25.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SV Meppen (Local): 29.52%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visitante): 44.76%; Empate: 25.72%. Para SV Meppen (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.39. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.47, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.45%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.02%EV +2.45%E +0.706%K +0.992%G +0.024% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.82%EV -14.07%E -7.33%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -0.210%E -0.054%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 04:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.57%E -0.778%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.05%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.05%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -3.55%E -0.947%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -11.38%E -5.75%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -11.83%E -6.01%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.25%E -4.02%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 13:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 14:27 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -13.17%E -6.79%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.57%EV -10.84%E -3.59%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.77%EV -8.70%E -4.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.84%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 14:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -12.90%E -4.37%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.16%EV -6.91%E -3.32%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.04%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-04 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.31%EV -18.81%E -6.84%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.64%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.05%EV -17.70%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.31%EV -18.81%E -6.84%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.64%EV -14.52%E -7.60%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.05%EV -17.70%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -22.65%E -8.64%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV +0.702%E +0.312%K +0.561%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -22.65%E -8.64%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV +0.702%E +0.312%K +0.561%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -22.65%E -8.64%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV +0.702%E +0.312%K +0.561%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |