Language:English
Schweinfurt v Rot-Weiss Essen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Schweinfurt (Local)
Prediction 16.14%6.20fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.514%
Kelly +0.610%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 6.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.89%16.27%16.18%18.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.495.306.4020.83%18.22%18.87%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)
Prediction 64.23%1.56fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -8.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%64.17%64.23%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.46%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.63%5.09fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.460%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.35%19.56%19.59%22.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.454.405.0027.78%22.48%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Schweinfurt (Local): 16.14%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 64.23%; Draw: 19.63%. For Schweinfurt (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.20. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +3.29%E +0.514%K +0.610%G +0.020% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.78%EV -6.23%E -4.26%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +3.29%E +0.514%K +0.610%G +0.020% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.78%EV -6.23%E -4.26%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +0.872%E +0.139%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -8.80%E -6.19%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 16:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.53%EV -1.39%E -0.227%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -6.23%E -4.26%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.48%EV -4.39%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -3.16%E -0.527%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -8.80%E -6.19%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.56%EV -8.80%E -6.19%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -14.60%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.17%EV -8.00%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.01%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -8.71%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.28%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.99%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -14.99%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.44%EV -4.30%E -2.89%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.62%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.62%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.62%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.55%E -4.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.49%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 60.61%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.90%EV -29.33%E -8.15%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 21.3% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.26%EV -22.53%E -4.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 60.93%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.81%EV -25.40%E -6.68%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-04-07 16:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.90% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.82% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |