La escuela de los momiosSchweinfurt v Rot-Weiss Essen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Schweinfurt (Local)
Predicción 16.14%6.20momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +0.514%
Kelly +0.610%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.89%16.27%16.18%18.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.495.306.4020.83%18.22%18.87%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rot-Weiss Essen (Visitante)
Predicción 64.23%1.56momio equitativo
EV -4.30%
Ventaja -2.89%
Kelly -8.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.61%64.17%64.23%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.46%69.44%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.63%5.09momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.368%
Kelly -0.460%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.35%19.56%19.59%22.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.454.405.0027.78%22.48%22.73%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +3.29%E +0.514%K +0.610%G +0.020% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.78%EV -6.23%E -4.26%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +3.29%E +0.514%K +0.610%G +0.020% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.78%EV -6.23%E -4.26%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +0.872%E +0.139%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -8.80%E -6.19%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 16:58 |
| Pinnacle | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.53%EV -1.39%E -0.227%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -6.23%E -4.26%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.48%EV -4.39%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Bovada | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -3.16%E -0.527%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| theScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -8.80%E -6.19%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| PlayUp | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.56%EV -8.80%E -6.19%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -14.60%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Betsson | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.17%EV -8.00%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.01%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -8.71%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.28%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.99%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -14.99%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.44%EV -4.30%E -2.89%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Unibet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Casumo | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.62%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.62%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.62%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.55%E -4.18%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.49%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 60.61%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.90%EV -29.33%E -8.15%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 21.3% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.26%EV -22.53%E -4.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 60.93%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.81%EV -25.40%E -6.68%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-04-07 16:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.90% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.82% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |