L’École des cotes

Schweinfurt v Rot-Weiss Essen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Schweinfurt (Local)

Prévision 16.14%6.20cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +0.514%
Kelly +0.610%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.89%16.27%16.18%18.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.495.306.4020.83%18.22%18.87%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.23%1.56cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -2.89%
Kelly -8.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%64.17%64.23%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.46%69.44%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.63%5.09cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.368%
Kelly -0.460%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.35%19.56%19.59%22.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.454.405.0027.78%22.48%22.73%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +3.29%E +0.514%K +0.610%G +0.020%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.78%EV -6.23%E -4.26%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 17:00
LowVig.ag6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +3.29%E +0.514%K +0.610%G +0.020%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.78%EV -6.23%E -4.26%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 17:00
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +0.872%E +0.139%K +0.166%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -8.80%E -6.19%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 16:58
Pinnacle6.11I 16.37%NM 15.53%EV -1.39%E -0.227%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -6.23%E -4.26%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.48%EV -4.39%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 16:59
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -3.16%E -0.527%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 16:54
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:59
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -8.80%E -6.19%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 17:00
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.20%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.56%EV -8.80%E -6.19%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -14.60%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-07 17:00
Betsson5.70I 17.54%NM 16.17%EV -8.00%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.01%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.82%EV -8.71%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 16:59
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 16:59
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.28%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.975%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 16:59
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.99%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-07 16:59
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 17:00
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -14.99%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-07 17:00
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.44%EV -4.30%E -2.89%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 17:00
Unibet (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 17:00
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 17:00
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 17:00
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 17:00
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 17:00
Grosvenor5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 17:00
TABtouch5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:59
Svenska Spel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -14.46%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.44%EV -4.94%E -3.34%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -16.57%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 17:00
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.62%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.62%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.62%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 17:00
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -15.27%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.55%E -4.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-07 16:59
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-07 17:00
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-07 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 16.49%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 60.61%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.90%EV -29.33%E -8.15%K -11.28%G +0.000%21.3%2026-04-07 17:00
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 17.26%EV -22.53%E -4.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 60.93%EV -12.65%E -9.30%K -35.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.81%EV -25.40%E -6.68%K -9.07%G +0.000%20.7%2026-04-07 16:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.90%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-04-07 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.82%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%2.0%2026-04-07 17:00