Language:English
SC Verl v TSV 1860 München
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Verl (Local)
Prediction 64.16%1.56fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -3.41%
Kelly -10.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.16%64.12%64.21%65.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.431.431.4875.19%70.18%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSV 1860 München (Visit)
Prediction 16.18%6.18fair odd
EV +0.322%
Edge +0.052%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.96%16.13%16.21%18.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.545.506.2021.05%18.05%18.18%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.66%5.09fair odd
EV +0.252%
Edge +0.049%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.23%19.75%19.58%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.504.505.1026.67%22.21%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 64.16%; TSV 1860 München (Visit): 16.18%; Draw: 19.66%. For TSV 1860 München (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.322%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.87%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV +0.322%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.87%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV +0.322%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.50%EV -1.46%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.74%EV -10.56%E -2.32%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.91%E -0.486%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.71%E -0.343%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -11.46%E -8.30%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV -7.77%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:16 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -5.64%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.15%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -4.66%E -0.961%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.15%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -4.66%E -0.961%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -12.74%E -9.37%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -12.74%E -9.37%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.56%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV +0.252%E +0.049%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.83%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -5.64%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 10:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 11:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 61.70%EV -14.66%E -11.03%K -44.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.41%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.88%EV -26.28%E -7.01%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 21.9% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.80%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.22%EV -23.14%E -4.87%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.16%EV -12.74%E -9.37%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -23.14%E -4.87%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -23.34%E -5.98%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-16 11:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.28% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.28% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.28% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |