L’École des cotes

SC Verl v TSV 1860 München

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Score final : SC Verl 3–0 TSV 1860 München

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Verl (Local)

Prévision 64.16%1.56cote équitable
EV -5.04%
Avantage -3.41%
Kelly -10.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.16%64.12%64.21%65.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.431.431.4875.19%70.18%69.93%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TSV 1860 München (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.18%6.18cote équitable
EV +0.322%
Avantage +0.052%
Kelly +0.062%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.96%16.13%16.21%18.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.545.506.2021.05%18.05%18.18%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.66%5.09cote équitable
EV +0.252%
Avantage +0.049%
Kelly +0.062%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.23%19.75%19.58%21.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.504.505.1026.67%22.21%22.22%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.87%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV +0.322%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.87%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV +0.322%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:20
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.50%EV -1.46%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.74%EV -10.56%E -2.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.91%E -0.486%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.71%E -0.343%K -0.428%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:15
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 10:35
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:14
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -11.46%E -8.30%K -30.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 10:35
Suprabets1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV -7.77%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:16
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -5.64%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 10:35
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:10
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.15%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -4.66%E -0.961%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 10:35
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.15%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -4.66%E -0.961%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 10:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 11:15
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:15
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 10:35
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -12.74%E -9.37%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-16 10:35
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -12.74%E -9.37%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.56%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV +0.252%E +0.049%K +0.062%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 10:35
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.83%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -5.64%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 10:39
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 11:19
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 11:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 11:20
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-16 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 61.70%EV -14.66%E -11.03%K -44.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.41%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.88%EV -26.28%E -7.01%K -9.56%G +0.000%21.9%2026-05-16 10:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.80%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.22%EV -23.14%E -4.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 11:15
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 61.16%EV -12.74%E -9.37%K -35.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -23.14%E -4.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -23.34%E -5.98%K -8.05%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-16 11:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.28%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.28%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.28%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.3%2026-05-16 11:25