La escuela de los momios

SC Verl v TSV 1860 München

Inicio: 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Final: SC Verl 3–0 TSV 1860 München

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Verl (Local)

Predicción 64.16%1.56momio equitativo
EV -5.04%
Ventaja -3.41%
Kelly -10.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.16%64.12%64.21%65.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.431.431.4875.19%70.18%69.93%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

TSV 1860 München (Visitante)

Predicción 16.18%6.18momio equitativo
EV +0.322%
Ventaja +0.052%
Kelly +0.062%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.96%16.13%16.21%18.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.545.506.2021.05%18.05%18.18%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.66%5.09momio equitativo
EV +0.252%
Ventaja +0.049%
Kelly +0.062%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.23%19.75%19.58%21.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.504.505.1026.67%22.21%22.22%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.87%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV +0.322%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.87%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV +0.322%E +0.052%K +0.062%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:20
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.50%EV -1.46%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.74%EV -10.56%E -2.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.91%E -0.486%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.71%E -0.343%K -0.428%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:15
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 10:35
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:14
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -11.46%E -8.30%K -30.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 10:35
Suprabets1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV -7.77%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:16
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -5.64%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 10:35
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:10
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.15%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -4.66%E -0.961%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 10:35
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.15%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -4.66%E -0.961%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 10:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -6.97%E -4.80%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 11:15
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:15
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 10:35
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -12.74%E -9.37%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-16 10:35
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -12.74%E -9.37%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -11.00%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.56%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV +0.252%E +0.049%K +0.062%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 10:35
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.83%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -5.64%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 10:39
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 11:19
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 11:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 11:20
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-16 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 61.70%EV -14.66%E -11.03%K -44.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.41%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.88%EV -26.28%E -7.01%K -9.56%G +0.000%21.9%2026-05-16 10:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.80%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.22%EV -23.14%E -4.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 11:15
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 61.16%EV -12.74%E -9.37%K -35.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -23.14%E -4.87%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -23.34%E -5.98%K -8.05%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-16 11:13
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.28%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.28%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.28%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.3%2026-05-16 11:25