Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.28
assuming max odds 12.17
assuming max odds 8.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 76.93%; Schweinfurt (Visit): 8.94%; Draw: 14.13%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.08. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.03%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +13.03%E +1.63%K +1.86%G +0.243% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.19%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.17%E -0.587%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +5.97%E +0.796%K +0.918%G +0.055% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.19%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.17%E -0.587%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +5.97%E +0.796%K +0.918%G +0.055% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.47%EV -8.45%E -7.10%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 12.17I 8.22%NM 7.77%EV +8.76%E +0.720%K +0.784%G +0.069% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.76%EV +4.70%E +0.634%K +0.733%G +0.034% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.91%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -15.10%E -1.59%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.51%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.37%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.51%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.37%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.20%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -15.10%E -1.59%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.34%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.35%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.31%EV -9.57%E -1.50%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.52%EV -9.22%E -7.81%K -51.21%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -11.69%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 15:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.04%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.56%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.54%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -1.52%E -1.19%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 74.18%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 8.90%EV -15.10%E -1.59%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.91%EV -29.35%E -5.87%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-15 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 72.97%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.40%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -29.35%E -5.87%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-15 15:13 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-03-15 15:25 |