A Escola das Odds

SC Verl v Schweinfurt

Início: 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SC Verl (Local)

Previsão 76.93%1.30odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -5.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.35%77.17%76.82%79.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.141.211.201.2887.72%82.46%83.33%78.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Schweinfurt (Visitante)

Previsão 8.94%11.19odd justa
EV +8.76%
Vantagem +0.720%
Kelly +0.784%
Crescimento +0.069%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.77%8.99%9.07%11.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.009.219.2512.1712.50%10.85%10.81%8.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 14.13%7.08odd justa
EV +13.03%
Vantagem +1.63%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescimento +0.243%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.68%13.84%14.11%17.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.006.056.008.0020.00%16.52%16.67%12.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +13.03%E +1.63%K +1.86%G +0.243%7.1%2026-03-15 15:25
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.19%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.17%E -0.587%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +5.97%E +0.796%K +0.918%G +0.055%4.8%2026-03-15 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.19%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.17%E -0.587%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +5.97%E +0.796%K +0.918%G +0.055%4.8%2026-03-15 15:05
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 79.47%EV -8.45%E -7.10%K -44.46%G +0.000%12.17I 8.22%NM 7.77%EV +8.76%E +0.720%K +0.784%G +0.069%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.76%EV +4.70%E +0.634%K +0.733%G +0.034%5.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.91%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -15.10%E -1.59%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:15
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 76.51%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.37%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:15
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.51%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.37%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:15
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 15:05
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 15:20
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 77.20%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -15.10%E -1.59%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.34%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.35%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.31%EV -9.57%E -1.50%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 15:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 76.52%EV -9.22%E -7.81%K -51.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -11.69%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:23
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:10
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:10
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:20
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 75.04%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 15:15
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 74.56%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.54%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 15:25
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -1.52%E -1.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 74.18%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 8.90%EV -15.10%E -1.59%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.91%EV -29.35%E -5.87%K -7.34%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-15 15:20
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 72.97%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.40%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -29.35%E -5.87%K -7.34%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-15 15:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-15 15:25