L’École des cotes

SC Verl v Schweinfurt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Verl (Local)

Prévision 76.93%1.30cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -5.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.35%77.17%76.82%79.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.211.201.2887.72%82.46%83.33%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Schweinfurt (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.94%11.19cote équitable
EV +8.76%
Avantage +0.720%
Kelly +0.784%
Croissance +0.069%

avec la cote maximale 12.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.77%8.99%9.07%11.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.009.219.2512.1712.50%10.85%10.81%8.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.13%7.08cote équitable
EV +13.03%
Avantage +1.63%
Kelly +1.86%
Croissance +0.243%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.68%13.84%14.11%17.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.056.008.0020.00%16.52%16.67%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +13.03%E +1.63%K +1.86%G +0.243%7.1%2026-03-15 15:25
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.19%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.17%E -0.587%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +5.97%E +0.796%K +0.918%G +0.055%4.8%2026-03-15 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.19%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.17%E -0.587%K -0.649%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +5.97%E +0.796%K +0.918%G +0.055%4.8%2026-03-15 15:05
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 79.47%EV -8.45%E -7.10%K -44.46%G +0.000%12.17I 8.22%NM 7.77%EV +8.76%E +0.720%K +0.784%G +0.069%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.76%EV +4.70%E +0.634%K +0.733%G +0.034%5.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.91%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -15.10%E -1.59%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -1.10%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:15
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 76.51%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.37%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:15
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.51%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.37%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:15
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -19.57%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 15:05
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -1.70%E -0.154%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:20
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 15:20
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 77.20%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -15.10%E -1.59%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -8.16%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 15:25
Codere (IT)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.34%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.35%EV -12.42%E -1.27%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.31%EV -9.57%E -1.50%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 15:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 76.52%EV -9.22%E -7.81%K -51.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -11.69%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:23
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:10
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:10
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.63%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:20
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 75.04%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -24.04%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 15:15
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 74.56%EV -9.99%E -8.54%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.54%EV -15.22%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 15:25
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -1.52%E -1.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -2.29%E -1.81%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -25.12%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 74.18%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 8.90%EV -15.10%E -1.59%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.91%EV -29.35%E -5.87%K -7.34%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-15 15:20
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 72.97%EV -12.30%E -10.79%K -87.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.40%EV -28.51%E -3.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -29.35%E -5.87%K -7.34%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-15 15:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.8%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-03-15 15:25