Language:English
SC Verl v MSV Duisburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Verl (Local)
Prediction 29.71%3.37fair odd
EV -0.473%
Edge -0.141%
Kelly -0.201%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%29.70%29.85%32.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.952.883.3538.17%33.89%34.72%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
MSV Duisburg (Visit)
Prediction 43.57%2.30fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.15%43.70%43.37%45.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.102.102.1851.81%47.53%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -0.932%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.47%26.60%26.78%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.453.423.6532.05%28.94%29.20%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 29.71%; MSV Duisburg (Visit): 43.57%; Draw: 26.72%. For SC Verl (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -0.473%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -0.473%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -6.76%E -3.16%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 14:18 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 28.50%EV -5.23%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.13%EV -10.25%E -4.97%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.38%EV -11.29%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 14:22 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -2.47%E -0.677%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-12 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-12 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -14.73%E -5.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-12 19:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -14.73%E -5.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-12 19:38 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:53 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -18.30%E -6.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 13:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.25%EV -18.30%E -6.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 43.10%EV -15.91%E -8.24%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -16.63%E -5.33%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.25%EV -18.30%E -6.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 43.10%EV -15.91%E -8.24%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -16.63%E -5.33%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-08-15 14:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -22.16%E -8.46%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-12 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |