Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

SC Verl v MSV Duisburg

Inizio: 2026-08-15 14:30 UTC

Finale: SC Verl 2–4 MSV Duisburg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

SC Verl (Casa)

Previsione 29.71%3.37quota equa
EV -0.473%
Vantaggio -0.141%
Kelly -0.201%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.36%29.70%29.85%32.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.952.883.3538.17%33.89%34.72%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

MSV Duisburg (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.57%2.30quota equa
EV -5.02%
Vantaggio -2.30%
Kelly -4.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.15%43.70%43.37%45.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.102.102.1851.81%47.53%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.72%3.74quota equa
EV -2.47%
Vantaggio -0.677%
Kelly -0.932%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.47%26.60%26.78%27.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.123.453.423.6532.05%28.94%29.20%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: SC Verl (Casa): 29.71%; MSV Duisburg (Trasferta): 43.57%; Pareggio: 26.72%. Per SC Verl (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.37. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.35, con un valore atteso del -0.473%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -0.473%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -6.76%E -3.16%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 14:18
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 14:19
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:24
Suprabets🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 28.50%EV -5.23%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.13%EV -10.25%E -4.97%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.38%EV -11.29%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 14:22
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 14:19
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:19
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -2.47%E -0.677%K -0.932%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 14:24
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:19
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:20
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 14:24
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:15
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:24
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 14:14
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:14
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-12 19:39
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-12 19:39
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -14.73%E -5.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 19:39
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -14.73%E -5.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 19:38
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:53
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-15 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-15 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -18.30%E -6.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 13:53
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.25%EV -18.30%E -6.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 43.10%EV -15.91%E -8.24%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -16.63%E -5.33%K -7.85%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-15 14:24
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.25%EV -18.30%E -6.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 43.10%EV -15.91%E -8.24%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -16.63%E -5.33%K -7.85%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-15 14:23
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -22.16%E -8.46%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-12 21:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-08-15 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-08-15 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-08-15 14:24