StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

SC Verl v MSV Duisburg

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 14:30 UTC

Slutresultat: SC Verl 2–4 MSV Duisburg

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

SC Verl (Hemma)

Prognos 29.71%3.37rättvist odds
EV -0.473%
Fördel -0.141%
Kelly -0.201%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.36%29.70%29.85%32.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.622.952.883.3538.17%33.89%34.72%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

MSV Duisburg (Borta)

Prognos 43.57%2.30rättvist odds
EV -5.02%
Fördel -2.30%
Kelly -4.25%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.15%43.70%43.37%45.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.932.102.102.1851.81%47.53%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.72%3.74rättvist odds
EV -2.47%
Fördel -0.677%
Kelly -0.932%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.47%26.60%26.78%27.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.123.453.423.6532.05%28.94%29.20%27.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: SC Verl (Hemma): 29.71%; MSV Duisburg (Borta): 43.57%; Oavgjort: 26.72%. För SC Verl (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.37. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.35, med väntevärdet -0.473%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -0.473%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -6.76%E -3.16%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 14:18
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 14:19
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:24
Suprabets🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 28.50%EV -5.23%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.13%EV -10.25%E -4.97%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.38%EV -11.29%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 14:22
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 14:19
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 14:19
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -2.47%E -0.677%K -0.932%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 14:24
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:19
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:20
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.39%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 14:24
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:15
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:24
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 14:14
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:14
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-12 19:39
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-12 19:39
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -14.44%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -14.73%E -5.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 19:39
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -14.73%E -5.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-12 19:38
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:53
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -15.33%E -5.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-15 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-15 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -18.30%E -6.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 13:53
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.25%EV -18.30%E -6.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 43.10%EV -15.91%E -8.24%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -16.63%E -5.33%K -7.85%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-15 14:24
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.25%EV -18.30%E -6.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 43.10%EV -15.91%E -8.24%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -16.63%E -5.33%K -7.85%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-15 14:23
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -22.16%E -8.46%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-12 21:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-08-15 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-08-15 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-08-15 14:24