The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SC Verl v Hansa Rostock

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Verl (Local)

Prediction 46.42%2.15fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.41%46.57%46.29%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.002.002.1055.56%50.11%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hansa Rostock (Visit)

Prediction 28.79%3.47fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.299%
Kelly +0.418%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.12%28.73%28.86%30.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.093.103.5134.72%32.32%32.26%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV -0.855%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.285%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%24.70%24.84%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.583.554.0032.26%27.90%28.17%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 46.42%; Hansa Rostock (Visit): 28.79%; Draw: 24.79%. For Hansa Rostock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.12%EV +1.05%E +0.299%K +0.418%G +0.004%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -4.82%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.12%E -0.623%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -11.79%E -6.21%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -3.33%E -0.855%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:45
Suprabets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.20%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-08 16:52
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -0.855%E -0.214%K -0.285%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 16:45
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.20%EV -8.54%E -4.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.80%EV -9.03%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.00%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.20%EV -8.54%E -4.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.80%EV -9.03%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.00%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:40
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.11%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 16:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.73%E -4.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.92%EV -13.65%E -7.34%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-08 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -16.44%E -9.13%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-08 16:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -12.19%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 16:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -15.04%E -8.22%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -23.16%E -7.47%K -11.03%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-08 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -15.04%E -8.22%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -17.09%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -19.44%E -5.98%K -8.64%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-08 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-04-08 16:50