L’École des cotes

SC Verl v Hansa Rostock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Verl (Local)

Prévision 46.42%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.41%46.57%46.29%48.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.002.002.1055.56%50.11%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hansa Rostock (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.79%3.47cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.299%
Kelly +0.418%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.12%28.73%28.86%30.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.093.103.5134.72%32.32%32.26%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.79%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.855%
Avantage -0.214%
Kelly -0.285%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.22%24.70%24.84%26.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.583.554.0032.26%27.90%28.17%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.12%EV +1.05%E +0.299%K +0.418%G +0.004%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -4.82%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.12%E -0.623%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -11.79%E -6.21%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -3.33%E -0.855%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:45
Suprabets1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.20%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-08 16:52
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -0.855%E -0.214%K -0.285%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:55
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 16:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 16:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.20%EV -8.54%E -4.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.80%EV -9.03%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.00%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 16:55
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.20%EV -8.54%E -4.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.80%EV -9.03%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.00%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 16:55
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:40
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:44
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:45
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.11%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 16:45
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 16:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 16:44
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:54
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.73%E -4.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 16:49
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 46.92%EV -13.65%E -7.34%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-08 16:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -16.44%E -9.13%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-08 16:44
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -12.19%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 16:45
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -15.04%E -8.22%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -23.16%E -7.47%K -11.03%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-08 16:45
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -15.04%E -8.22%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -17.09%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -19.44%E -5.98%K -8.64%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-08 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-04-08 16:50