La escuela de los momios

SC Verl v Hansa Rostock

Inicio: 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Verl (Local)

Predicción 46.42%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.41%46.57%46.29%48.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.002.002.1055.56%50.11%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Predicción 28.79%3.47momio equitativo
EV +1.05%
Ventaja +0.299%
Kelly +0.418%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.12%28.73%28.86%30.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.093.103.5134.72%32.32%32.26%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.79%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.855%
Ventaja -0.214%
Kelly -0.285%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.22%24.70%24.84%26.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.583.554.0032.26%27.90%28.17%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.12%EV +1.05%E +0.299%K +0.418%G +0.004%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -4.82%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.12%E -0.623%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -11.79%E -6.21%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -3.33%E -0.855%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 16:45
Suprabets1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.20%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-08 16:52
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -0.855%E -0.214%K -0.285%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:55
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 16:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 16:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.20%EV -8.54%E -4.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.80%EV -9.03%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.00%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 16:55
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.20%EV -8.54%E -4.34%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.80%EV -9.03%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.00%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 16:55
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:40
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:44
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:45
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.11%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 16:45
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 16:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 16:44
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-08 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 16:54
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.33%E -5.93%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.73%E -4.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 16:49
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 46.92%EV -13.65%E -7.34%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-08 16:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -16.44%E -9.13%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -13.25%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-08 16:44
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -12.19%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 16:45
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -15.04%E -8.22%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -23.16%E -7.47%K -11.03%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-08 16:45
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 16:15
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -15.04%E -8.22%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -17.09%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -19.44%E -5.98%K -8.64%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-08 16:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-04-08 16:50